Texas poll: Harris outpolling Biden, Trump still leads

A new poll is giving us a first look at the presidential race in Texas since Kamala Harris replaced President Joe Biden at the top of the Democratic ticket.

Despite Harris polling better than Biden, former president Donald Trump is still leading among likely voters in the state, according to a University of Houston-Texas State University poll.

49.5% of poll respondents said they intend to vote for Trump. 44.6% plan to vote for Harris, according to the poll.

The same poll in June showed Trump ahead of Biden by 9 points. 

"Harris has made considerable headway among voters both in Texas and nationally in the short time since she entered the race last month," said Renée Cross, senior executive director of the Hobby School. "That’s particularly true among younger voters, with 55% of Gen Z voters saying they will support her, compared to just 39% who backed Biden. She also has gained among women and independent voters."

Despite Harris’s gains, Texas remains a red state where Trump, holds a strong lead among men, white voters, and older voters. However, among Latino voters, Trump’s lead over Harris is slim, at 47% to 46%. A notable shift from 2020, when Texas Latinos favored Biden over Trump by a 17-point margin.

Overall, Texans still have a negative opinion of Harris (-3%), but that is much higher than her favorability rating in June (-14%).

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How Texas voters feel about Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris is considered the front-runner to be the Democratic Party's presidential nominee after President Biden dropped out of the race on Sunday.

The survey talked to 1,365 likely Texas voters from August 5 to 16. The margin of error in the poll was +/- 2.65%.

2024 ElectionTexasTexas PoliticsKamala HarrisDonald J. TrumpJoe Biden